Thursday, July 17, 2008

Success is a State of Mind

Many people assume that success is a matter of luck. However, while luck,which usually involves being in the right place at the right time, may play a part in success, those who are successful are generally those who are on the lookout for opportunity.

A good example of this is the story about the clergyman and the flood which goes like this:

There was once a very devout clergyman who spent hours in prayer each day and whose response to the fears and those of others was to say "Don't worry. The Lord will provide".

One day it began to rain very hard and the public was warned to leave town and flee to higher ground away from the storm. As the clergyman sat in his home praying one of the families in his congregation came by in their car and offered to take him with them. But he declined saying "Don't worry, the Lord will provide for me".

The family left him in his house and soon the water level began rising, flooding the street and forcing the clergyman to move upstairs to escape the rising water. A couple fleeing in a boat saw him sitting in his window and rowed over and encouraged him to get in their boat but he declined saying "Don't worry, the Lord will provide for me". So they rowed on leaving him sitting in his window.

The water continued to rise and he was forced to climb onto his roof to avoid being swept away by the water. The crew of a rescue helicopter saw him and dropped a rope ladder down encouraging him to climb aboard. But he waved them away saying "Don't worry, the Lord will provide for me".

Soon the water rose to the point where its waves rolled over the roof of the house, sweeping the clergyman away where he drowned.

Upon arriving in Heaven, the clergyman angrily confronted God demanding to know why God had ignored his pleas for help after he had been such a loyal and trusting servant of God all his life. To which God replied "How can you accuse me of ignoring you? Didn't I send a car, a boat and a helicopter to take you to safety? And you declined all of these offers of help."

The moral is that opportunity doesn't grab you and make you a success - you have to recognize and grab it if you want to be successful.

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Bartering Pepsi Cola for Vodka and Tanker Ships

Barter is defined as the act of purchasing a good by trading another good rather than using cash. Barter is usually viewed as an economic activity found in simpler, more primitive economies rather than in our complex modern economy. And, this is generally true as barter is an inefficient means of obtaining goods since considerable search time is involved in seeking out another person who both has what you want and wants to trade it for what you are offering. In a small Stone Age village this is not much of a problem because villagers tend to know one another and there are only a few economic goods available.

Despite the fact that barter is inefficient and associated with small villages in primitive economies, it remains alive and well as a niche market today where both small local businesses and large corporations operating globally still find uses for it.

One of the best publicized instances of barter in the modern world occurred in 1972 when, during a temporary thaw in the Cold War between the U.S. led West and the Soviet led East, Donald Kendall, CEO (Chief Executive Officer) of the Pepsi Cola Corporation (the name was later changed to Pepsico when Kendall initiated a merger between Pepsi Cola and snack food giant Frito Lay Corp.) negotiated a deal with the Soviet government that allowed Pepsi Cola to be bottled and marketed in the then Soviet Union in exchange for Pepsi importing and marketing vodka and other hard liquors produced in the Soviet Union. This deal gave Pepsi Cola, then the number two cola and soft drink company, a leg up on it arch rival, the much older Coca-Cola, Corporation had established a world-wide presence prior to World War II, years before Pepsi Cola even existed. However, with the Soviet deal, Pepsi Cola Corp. was able to enter the areas of the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe which, as communist societies, had been closed to private corporations. This gave the Pepsi brand a virtual monopoly in a sizable chunk of the world and which, following the fall of communism in Europe and Soviet Asia, placed it well ahead of the pack when these markets opened to other foreign companies.

But why did Pepsi elect to trade Pepsi Cola for vodka rather than simply build bottling plants and establish market share then pocket the profits in cash? The fact is, Pepsi did not establish a corporate presence in the Soviet Union. Instead it helped establish bottling plants (upgrading some existing Soviet plants and helping to build others), supplied the syrup necessary for producing Pepsi Cola and had the final product sold as Pepsi Cola. However, the bottling plants, distribution chain and sale of the Pepsi Cola produced was all done by the Soviet government the same as all other productive enterprises behind the old Iron Curtain. Much as the old Soviet Union wanted western consumer products for their citizens they were not about to allow privately owned companies to be established in their Marxist-Leninist society. There was a more practical economic reason as well and that was the fact that they did not want their scarce foreign currency reserves being sent abroad to purchase Western consumer goods. With the Pepsi Cola for vodka deal the Soviets were able obtain Pepsi Cola without bending their communist principles and without having to spend their foreign currency.

In a cash deal, Soviet consumers would have purchased their Pepsi Cola with their local currency (rubles) which the Pepsi Cola Corporation would have then converted to dollars with the rubles ultimately being presented to the Soviet Central Bank for dollars. However, in order to obtain dollars or other western currency the Soviets needed to increase their foreign exports but, due to the gross inefficiencies in their state controlled economy, they had little to trade and what few dollars and other western currencies they did obtain they used to buy capital goods needed to upgrade their factories and military complex.

For Pepsi Cola Corporation, the benefit was a major presence in a new area of the world and a supply of vodka and other liquors which they could sell in the U.S. for dollars. The vodka and other liquors also increased the offerings of Pepsi's hard beverage division, Monsieur Henri Wines Ltd., which not only gave that division additional product to sell but also made them the exclusive sellers of Russian vodka in the U.S.

In the late 1980s and early 1990s with the Soviet Union crumbling and still suffering from a lack of export goods, Pepsico made additional barter deals which increased their sales and presence in the area in exchange for vodka plus tanker ships, submarines and other similar hardware which the company had cut up and sold to scrap metal dealers for the dollars it desired.

Links for additional reading:

The Pepski Generation (Time Magazine - Monday Nov 27, 1972)

Communicating in Global Business Negotiations (Google Books)

Barter: An Alternative Currency ("The Guardian" Feb 27, 2003)

Pepsi Will be Bartered in a Deal With Soviets (New York Times - April 19, 1990)

Ukraine Tankers Hope Things Go Better With Pepsi (International Herald Tribune - October 23, 1992)

Behind the Barter Boom (All Business - Wed September 1, 1993)

Touting Barter, Russia Continues its Economic Regression (Asia Times - July 30, 1999)

Business Notes: Trade (Time Magazine - April 23, 1990)

Cold Cash, Not Cold War (Newsweek Aug 21, 2008)

Moscow's Favorite Capitalists (New York Times - July 17, 1983)

Pepsi's Pitch to Quench Chinese Thirst (Fortune Magazine - March 17, 1986)